Hack Poll College Football Ratings

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

2011 Rankings, Week 2

The HackPoll is back!  (albeit with an abbreviated post this week).  At this stage in the season, my rankings are only 3.1% reliable, so don't read too much into the fact that Baylor is #1 and Syracuse and FIU are in the top-10 -- that is only indicative of the fact that, so far, those schools are undefeated and have played the strongest schedules to date.  The rankings will get better in the coming weeks until they reach maximum reliability by about the end of October or so.

That having been said, a couple of amusing observations about this week's ratings:  Not surprisingly, the bottom two teams are Oregon St and Duke, the only two teams in the country who have lost to FCS (formerly D-1AA) opponents so far this year.  Because OSU's and Duke's ratings are so low, it had a large effect on the strengths-of-schedule of their other FBS opponents, namely Wisconsin and Stanford.  Consequently, Wisconsin and Stanford currently have the lowest strength-of-schedule ratings in the country, and that is why Wisconsin is currently ranked #59 and Stanford is currently ranked #79, even though both are expected to challenge for their respective conference titles this year.

Like I said, 3.1% reliability (at this point...)  With that caveat, however, here are the rankings as they currently stand:


Rank Team
W-L Value STR Last Week AP
1 Baylor
1-0 2.196 STR-1
AP-19
2 Oklahoma
1-0 2.196 STR-2
AP-1
3 Texas A&M 1-0 2.196 STR-3
AP-9
4 Texas
2-0 2.195 STR-4
AP-24
5 Oklahoma St 2-0 1.714 STR-22
AP-8
6 Auburn
2-0 1.710 STR-23
AP-21
7 West Virginia 2-0 1.272 STR-42
AP-18
8 Syracuse
2-0 1.267 STR-43

9 Michigan
2-0 1.163 STR-50
AP-26
10 Florida Intl 2-0 1.163 STR-51

11 Kentucky
2-0 1.161 STR-52

12 Ohio St
2-0 1.161 STR-53
AP-17
13 South Florida 2-0 1.136 STR-60
AP-20
14 Houston
2-0 1.136 STR-61
AP-28
15 Arizona St 2-0 1.090 STR-67
AP-22
16 LSU
2-0 1.090 STR-68
AP-3
17 Bowling Green 2-0 1.043 STR-69

18 Florida St
2-0 1.043 STR-70
AP-5
19 Iowa St
2-0 1.043 STR-71

20 North Carolina 2-0 1.043 STR-72

21 Pittsburgh
2-0 1.043 STR-73

22 Tennessee 2-0 1.043 STR-74
AP-35
23 Vanderbilt
2-0 1.043 STR-75

24 Ohio
2-0 1.020 STR-76

25 Washington 2-0 1.020 STR-77
AP-36
26 Kansas
2-0 1.020 STR-78

27 Illinois
2-0 1.017 STR-79

28 Alabama
2-0 0.936 STR-80
AP-2
29 USC
2-0 0.936 STR-81
AP-27
30 Boise St
1-0 0.609 STR-89
AP-4
31 South Carolina 2-0 0.608 STR-90
AP-11
32 Florida
2-0 0.608 STR-91
AP-16
33 Marshall
1-1 0.588 STR-7

34 BYU
1-1 0.583 STR-8
AP-34
35 Rice
1-1 0.566 STR-11

36 Navy
2-0 0.492 STR-96

37 Temple
2-0 0.492 STR-97

38 Virginia Tech 2-0 0.490 STR-98
AP-13
39 Michigan St 2-0 0.490 STR-99
AP-15
40 Arkansas
2-0 0.490 STR-100
AP-14
41 Colorado St 2-0 0.490 STR-101

42 Northwestern 2-0 0.490 STR-102
AP-32
43 UCF
2-0 0.490 STR-103
AP-30
44 Nebraska
2-0 0.490 STR-104
AP-10
45 Washington St 2-0 0.489 STR-105

46 Kansas St 1-0 0.485 STR-109

47 Texas Tech 1-0 0.485 STR-110

48 SMU
1-1 0.463 STR-12

49 TCU
1-1 0.463 STR-13
AP-23
50 Tulsa
1-1 0.463 STR-14

51 Wake Forest 1-1 0.434 STR-15

52 California
2-0 0.403 STR-111

53 Clemson
2-0 0.354 STR-112

54 East Michigan 2-0 0.352 STR-113

55 Wyoming
2-0 0.352 STR-114

56 Virginia
2-0 0.272 STR-115

57 San Diego St 2-0 0.272 STR-116

58 Georgia Tech 2-0 0.270 STR-117
AP-38
59 Wisconsin 2-0 0.220 STR-118
AP-7
60 Arizona
1-1 0.219 STR-29

61 Utah St
1-1 0.218 STR-30

62 Missouri
1-1 0.210 STR-16
AP-31
63 Oregon
1-1 0.210 STR-17
AP-12
64 LA Lafayette 1-1 0.135 STR-31

65 Buffalo
1-1 0.091 STR-35

66 Cincinnati
1-1 0.091 STR-36

67 Connecticut 1-1 0.091 STR-37

68 Idaho
1-1 0.091 STR-38

69 Iowa
1-1 0.091 STR-39

70 LA Monroe 1-1 0.091 STR-40

71 Rutgers
1-1 0.091 STR-41

72 W Michigan 1-1 0.078 STR-44

73 Louisville
1-1 0.078 STR-45

74 Cent Michigan 1-1 0.077 STR-46

75 Toledo
1-1 0.077 STR-47

76 Penn St
1-1 0.075 STR-48
AP-33
77 Utah
1-1 0.075 STR-49

78 Southern Miss 1-1 0.017 STR-54

79 Stanford
2-0 0.016 STR-119
AP-6
80 New Mexico St 1-1 0.015 STR-55

81 Hawaii
1-1 0.012 STR-56

82 Northern Illinois 1-1 0.012 STR-57

83 Maryland
1-0 #DIV/0!

AP-28
84 Mississippi St 1-1 0.000 STR-62
AP-25
85 Ball St
1-1 0.000 STR-63

86 UCLA
1-1 0.000 STR-64

87 Miami FL
0-1 #DIV/0!


88 Arkansas St 1-1 -0.118 STR-82

89 Air Force
1-1 -0.283 STR-84

90 Tulane
1-1 -0.283 STR-85

91 UTEP
1-1 -0.283 STR-86

92 Mississippi 1-1 -0.290 STR-87

93 NC St
1-1 -0.294 STR-88

94 Purdue
1-1 -0.354 STR-92

95 Louisiana Tech 1-1 -0.423 STR-106

96 Notre Dame 0-2 -0.840 STR-5

97 North Texas 0-2 -0.840 STR-6

98 Akron
0-2 -0.889 STR-9

99 West Kentucky 0-2 -0.889 STR-10

100 Boston Coll 0-2 -0.937 STR-18

101 New Mexico 0-2 -0.937 STR-19

102 Troy
0-1 -0.937 STR-20

103 Florida Atlantic 0-2 -0.938 STR-21

104 East Carolina 0-2 -0.938 STR-24

105 Georgia
0-2 -0.940 STR-27
AP-37
106 UAB
0-1 -0.940 STR-28

107 Fresno St
0-2 -0.941 STR-25

108 UNLV
0-2 -0.944 STR-26

109 FCS
2-56 -1.004 STR-34

110 Kent St
0-2 -1.097 STR-32

111 Minnesota 0-2 -1.101 STR-33

112 Indiana
0-2 -1.132 STR-58

113 Army
0-2 -1.132 STR-59

114 Colorado
0-2 -1.134 STR-65

115 San Jose St 0-2 -1.138 STR-66

116 Middle Tenn St 0-2 -1.172 STR-83

117 Memphis

-1.272 STR-93

118 Miami OH
0-1 -1.275 STR-94

119 Nevada
0-1 -1.275 STR-95

120 Oregon St
0-2 -1.316 STR-107

121 Duke
0-2 -1.318 STR-108